PROJECT 1-1

UPDATE OF CURRENT FLOOD AND STORM QUANTILES

Ba, I. & F. Ashkar (2018) Discrimination between a group of three-parameter distributions for hydro metereological frequency modeling. Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering, 45(5), 351-365.

Burn, D.H. & P.H. Whitfield (2017) Changes in cold region flood regimes inferred from long record reference gauging stations. Water Resources Research 53(4), 2643–2658.

Burn, D.H., Whitfield, P.H. & M. Sharif (2016) Identification of changes in floods and flood regimes in Canada using a peaks over threshold approach. Hydrological Processes 30(18), 3303-3314.

Burn, D.H. & P.H. Whitfield (2016) Changes in floods and flood regimes in Canada. Canadian Water Resources Journal 41(1-2), 139-150.

Durocher, M, Burn, D.H. & F. Ashkar (2019) Comparison of Estimation Methods for a Nonstationary Index-Flood Model in Flood Frequency Analysis Using Peaks Over Threshold, Water Resources Research, 55(11), 9398-9416.

Mostofi Zadeh, S. & D.H. Burn (2019) A super region approach to improve pooled flood frequency analysis. Canadian Water Resources Journal, 1-14 .

Mostofi Zadeh, S., Durocher, M., Burn, D.H. & F. Ashkar (2019) Pooled flood frequency analysis: a comparison based on peaks-over-threshold and annual maximum series. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 64(2), 121-136.

Yang, Z. & D.H. Burn (2019) Automatic feature selection and weighting for the formation of homogeneous groups for regional IDF estimation. Journal of Hydrology, 575, 292-307.

PROJECT 1-2

EXAMINATION OF SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL VARIATION OF EXTREME EVENTS

Ashkar, F. & I. Ba (2017) Selection between the generalized Pareto and kappa distributions in peaks-over-threshold hydrologic frequency modeling. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 62(7), 1167-1180.

Ashkar, F. & S-E. El Adlouni (2015) Adjusting for small-sample non-normality of design event estimators under a generalized Pareto distribution. Journal of Hydrology, 530, 384-391.

Burn, D.H. & P. Whitfield (2018) Changes in flood events inferred from centennial length streamflow data records. Advances in Water Resources, 121, 333-349.

Durocher, M., Mostofi Zadeh, S., Burn, D.H. & F. Ashkar (2018) Comparison of automatic procedures for selecting flood peaks over threshold based on goodness-of-fit tests. Hydrological Processes, 32(18), 2874-2887.

Mostofi Zadeh, S., Burn, D.H. & N. O’Brien (2020) Detection of Trends in Flood Magnitude and Frequency in Canada. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 28, 100673.

PROJECT 1-3

ANALYSIS AND APPLICABILITY OF FUTURE EXTREME EVENTS IN REGIONAL AND LOCAL CONTEXT

‍Champagne, O., Arain, M.A. & P. Coulibaly (2019) Atmospheric circulation amplifies shift of winter streamflow in southern Ontario. Journal of Hydrology, 578, 124051.

Champagne, O., Leduc, M., Coulibaly, P. & M.A. Arain (2020) Winter hydrometeorological extreme events modulated by large-scale atmospheric circulation in southern Ontario. Earth System Dynamics, 11, 301-318.

Champagne, O., Arain, M.A., Leduc, M., Coulibaly, P. & S. McKenzie (2020) Future shift in winter streamflow modulated by the internal veriability of climate in southern Ontario. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24, 3077-3096.

Gaafar, M., Mahmoud, S.H., Gan, T.Y. & E.G.R. Davies (2019) A practical GIS-based hazard assessment framework for water quality in stormwater systems. Journal of Cleaner Production, 245, 118855.

Ganguli, P. & P. Coulibaly (2017) Does nonstationarity in rainfall require nonstationary intensity- duration-frequency curves? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21, 6461-6483.

Ganguli, P. & P. Coulibaly (2019) Assessment of future changes in intensity-duration-frequency curves for Southern Ontario using North American (NA)-CORDEX models with nonstationary methods, Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 22 (100587), 1-21.

Gizaw, M.S. & T.Y. Gan (2016) Possible impact of climate change on future extreme precipitation of the Oldman, Bow and Red Deer River Basins of Alberta. International Journal of Climatology, 36(1), 208-224.

Jiang, R., Gan, T.Y., Xie, J., Wang, N. & C.-C.Kuo (2017) Historical and potential changes of precipitation and temperature of Alberta subjected to climate change impact: 1900–2100. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 127(3-4), 725-739.

Jiang, R., Wang, X., Xie, J. & T.Y. Gan (2018) Discussion of "Uses of precipitation-based climate indices in drought characterization" by Chandramouli V. Chandramouli, Nicholas Kaoukis, Mohammad Karim, and Leslie Dorworth. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 23(9): 07018008.

Kuo, C.-C., Gan, T. Y. & M. Gizaw (2015) Potential impact of climate change on intensity duration frequency curves of central Alberta. Climatic Change, 130(2), 115-129.

Kuo, C.-C. & T.Y. Gan (2015) Risk of exceeding extreme design storm events under possible impact of climate change. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 20(12), 4015038.

Kuo, C.-C., Gan, T.Y. & K. Higuchi (2017) Evaluation of Future Streamflow Patterns in Lake Simcoe Subbains Based on Ensembles of Statistical Downscaling. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 22(9), 04017028.

Kuo, C.-C., Gan, T.Y. & Wang, J. (2020) Climate Change Impact to Mackenzie River Basin Projected by a Regional Climate Model. Climate Dynamics, 54, 3561–3581.

Kuo, C.-C. & T.Y. Gan (2018) Estimation of precipitation and air temperature over western Canada using a regional climate model. International Journal of Climatology, 38(14), 5125-5135.

Li, J., Chen, D., Gan, T.Y. & N.C. Lau (2018) Elevated increases in human-perceived temperature under climate warming. Nature Climate Change, 8, 43-47.

Li, J., Gan, T.Y. et al. (2019) Tackling resolution mismatch of precipitation extremes from gridded GCMs and site-scale observations: implication to assessment and future projection. Atmospheric Research, 239, 104908.

Mahmoud, S. & T.Y. Gan (2018) Long-term impact of rapid urbanization on urban climate and human thermal comfort in hot-arid environment. Building and Environment, 142, 83-100.

Mahmoud, S. & T.Y. Gan (2018) Urbanization and climate change implications in flood risk management: Developing an efficient decision support system for flood susceptibility mapping. Science of  the Total Environment, 636, 152-167.

Mahmoud, S. & T.Y. Gan (2018) Impact of anthropogenic climate change and human activities on environment and ecosystem services in arid regions. Scienct of the the Total Environment, 633, 1329-1344.

Scheepers, H., Wang, J., Gan, T.Y., & C. Kuo, C (2018) The impact of climate change on inland waterway transport: effects of low water levels on the Mackenzie River. Journal of Hydrology, 566, 285-298.

Tan, X., Gan, T.Y. et al. (2020) Global atmospheric moisture transport associated with precipitation extremes: Mechanisms and climate change impacts. WIREs Water, 7 (2).

Tan, X., Chen, S. & T.Y. Gan (2018) Multi-model extreme event attribution of the weather conducive to the 2016 Fort McMurray wildfire, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 260-261, 109-117.

Tan, X., Chen, S., Gan, T.Y., Liu, B. & X. Chen (2019) Dynamic and thermodynamic changes conducive to the increased occurrence of extreme spring fire weather over western Canada under possible anthropogenic climate change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 265, 269-279.

Tan, X. & T.Y. Gan (2015) Nonstationary analysis of annual maximum streamflow of Canada. Journal of Climate, 28(5), 1788-1805.

Tan, X. & T.Y. Gan (2016) Contribution of human and climate change impacts to changes in streamflow of Canada. Scientific Reports, 5, 17767, 1-10.

Tan, X. & T.Y. Gan (2017) Multifractality of Canadian precipitation and streamflow International Journal of Climatology, 37, 1221-1236.

Tan, X. & T.Y. Gan (2017) Non-stationary analysis of the frequency and intensity of heavy precipitation over Canada and their relations to large-scale climate patterns. Climate Dynamics, 48(9-10), 2983-3001.

Tan, X., Gan, T.Y., Chen, S., Horton, D.E., Chen, X., Liu, B. & K. Lin (2019) Trends in Persistent Seasonal-Scale Atmospheric Circulation Patterns Responsible for Seasonal Precipitation Totals and Occurrences of Precipitation Extremes over Canada. Journal of Climate, 32(21), 7105-7126.

Tan, X., Gan, T.Y., & S. Chen (2018) Modeling distributional changes in winter precipitation of Canada using Bayesian spatiotemporal quantile regression subjected to different teleconnections, Climate Dynamics, 52(3-4), 2105-2124.

Tan, X., Gan, T.Y., & Y.D. Chen (2018) Moisture sources and pathways associated with the spatial variability of seasonal extreme precipitation over Canada. Climate Dynamics, 50(1-2), 629-640.

Tan, X., Gan, T.Y., & Y.D. Chen (2019) Synoptic moisture pathways associated with mean and extreme precipitation over Canada for summer and fall. Climate Dynamics, 52(5-6), 2959-2979.

Tan, X., Gan, T.Y., & Y.D. Chen (2019) Synoptic moisture pathways associated with mean and extreme precipitation over Canada for winter and spring. Climate Dynamics, 53(5-6), 2663-2681.

Tan, X., Gan, T.Y. & D.E. Horton (2017) Projected timing of perceivable changes in climate extremes for terrestrial and marine ecosystems. Global Change Biology, 24(10), 4696-4708.

Tan, X., Gan, T.Y. & D. Shao (2016) Wavelet analysis of precipitation extremes over Canadian ecoregions and teleconnections to large-scale climate anomalies. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121(24), 14469-14486.

Tan, X., Gan, T.Y. & D. Shao (2017) Effects of persistence and large-scale climate anomalies on trends and change points in extreme precipitation of Canada. Journal of Hydrology, 550, 453-465.

Wazneh, H., Chebana, F. & T.B.M.J. Ouarda (2016) Identification of hydrological neighborhoods for regional flood frequency analysis using statistical depth function. Advances in Water Resources 94, 251-163.

Wazneh, H., Arain, A. & P. Coulibaly (2017) Historical spatial and temporal climate trends in Southern Ontario, Canada. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 56(10), 2767-2787.

Wazneh, H., Arain, A. & P. Coulibaly (2019) Climate indices to characterize climatic changes across southern Canada. Meteorological Applications, 27(1), 1-19.

Wazneh, H., Arain, A., Coulibaly, P. & P. Gachon (2020) Evaluating the Dependence between Temperature and Precipitation to Better Estimate the Risks of Concurrent Extreme Weather Events. Advances in Meteorology, 8763631.

Yang, Y., Gan, T.Y. & X. Tan (2019) Spatiotemporal Changes in Precipitation Extremes over Canada and Their Teleconnections to Large-Scale Climate Patterns. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 20(2), 275-296.

Yang, Y., Gan, T.Y. & X. Tan (2020) Spatiotemporal changes of drought characteristics and dynamic influences of climate patternsin Canada. Atmospheric Research, 232.

Zhang, S., Gan, T.Y. & A.B.G. Bush (2020) Variability of Arctic sea ice based on quantile regression and the teleconnection with large-scale climate patterns. Journal of Climate, 33, 4009-4025.

PROJECT 1-4

DEVELOPMENT OF NEW METHODS FOR UPDATED IDF CURVES IN CANADA

Hassanzadeh, E., Nazemi, A., Adamowski, J., Nguyen, T-H. & V-T-V. Nugyen (2019) Quantile-based downscaling of rainfall extremes: Notes on methodological functionality, associated uncertainty and application in practice. Advances in Water Resources, 131, 103371.

Herath, S.M., Sarukkalige, P. & V-T-V. Nguyen (2016) A spatial temporal downscaling approach to development of IDF relations for Perth airport region in the context of climate change. Hydrological Sciences Journal 61(11), 2061-2070.

Herath, S., Sarukkalige, P. & V-T-V. Nguyen (2018) Evaluation of empirical relationships between extreme rainfall and daily maximum temperature in Australia. Journal of Hydrology, 556, 1171–1181.

Khalili, M. & V-T-V. Nguyen (2017) An efficient statistical approach to multi-site downscaling of daily precipitation series in the context of climate change. Climate Dynamics 49(7-8), 2261-2278.

Khalili, M. & V-T-V. Nguyen (2018) Efficient statistical approach to multisite downscaling of extreme temperature series using singular-value decomposition technique. ASCE Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 23(6), 10 pages.

Khalili, M. & V-T-V. Nguyen (2018) A perfect prognosis approach for daily precipitation series in consideration of space-time correlation structure. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 32(12), 3333-3364.

Nguyen, T-H. & V-T-V. Nguyen (2020) Linking climate change to urban storm drainage system design: An innovative approach to modelling of extreme rainfall processes over different spatial and temporal scales. Journal of Hydro-environment Research, 29: 80-95.

Nguyen, T-H. & V-T-V. Nguyen (2019) Decision-Support Tool for Constructing Robust Rainfall IDF Relations in Consideration of Model Uncertainty. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 24(7), 06019004.

Nguyen, V-T-V & T-H. Nguyen (2016) Statistical modeling of extreme rainfall processes (SMExRain): A decision support tool for extreme rainfall frequency analyses. Procedia Engineering 154, 624-630.

Nguyen, T-H., El Outayek, S., Lim, S-H. & V-T-V. Nguyen (2017) A systematic approach to selecting the best probability models for annual maximum rainfalls – A case study using data in Ontario (Canada). Journal of Hydrology 553, 49-58.

Ranzi R., Nalder G., Ahmed A., Ball J., De Costa G.S., Galvao, C., Jia Y., Kim Y.O., Kolokytha, E., Lee S., Nakakita E., Nguyen, V-T-V., Paquier A., Pate, P. & R. Teegavarapu (2015) Summary of recommendations for policy makers on adaptation to climate change in water engineering. Hydrolink (3), 93-95.

Yeo, M-H., Nguyen, H-L. & V-T-V. Nguyen (2019) A Statistical Tool to Modelling of Daily Precipitation Process in the Context of Climate Change. Journal of Water and Climate Change.

Yeo, M-H, Nguyen, V-T-V. & T. A. Kponodu (2020) Characterizing extreme rainfalls and constructing confidence intervals for IDF curves using scaling-GEV distribution model. International Journal of Climatology, pp. 1-13.

Yeo, M-H. & V-T-V. Nguyen (2015) A statistical approach to downscaling of daily rainfall process at an ungauged site. In P. Gourbesville (Ed.), Advances in Hydroinformatics, Chapter 20, 285-298, Springer Water Publ.

PROJECT 1-5

SPATIAL CHANGES TO FLOOD PRONE AREAS IN URBAN ENVIRONMENTS

Kokas, T., Simonovic, S.P. & A. Binns (2016) Flood risk management in Canadian urban environments: A comprehensive framework for water resources modeling and decision-making (95).

PROJECT 1-6

DEVELOPMENT OF NEW FLOOD ESTIMATION MANUAL FOR CANADA

Durocher, M., Burn, D.H. & S. Mostofi Zadeh (2018) A nationwide regional flood frequency analysis at ungauged sites using ROI/GLS with copulas and super regions. Journal of Hydrology, 567, 191-202.

Durocher, M., Burn, D.H., Zadeh, S. & F. Ashkar (2019) Estimating flood quantiles at ungauged sites using nonparametric regression methods with spatial components. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 64(9), 1056-1070.

Requena, A. I., Burn, D. H. & P. Coulibaly (2019) Pooled frequency analysis for intensity-duration-frequency curve estimation. Hydrological Processes, 33(15), 2080-2094.

Requena, A. I., Burn, D. H. & P. Coulibaly (2019) Estimates of gridded relative changes in 24-h extreme rainfall intensities based on pooled frequency analysis. Journal of Hydrology, 577(July), 123940.

Zhang, Z., Stadnyk, T.A. & D.H. Burn (2020) Identification of a preferred statistical distribution for at-site flood frequency analysis in Canada. Canadian Water Resources Journal. 45(1), 43-58.

PROJECT 2-1

COMPARISON OF ENSEMBLE FORECAST METHODS FOR OPERATIONAL STREAMFLOW FORECASTING BASED ON A SINGLE MODEL

Liu, H., Tolson, B. A., Craig, J. R. and M. Shafii (2016) A priori discretization error metrics for distributed hydrologic modeling applications. Journal of Hydrology 543B, 873-891.

Liu, H. Thiboult, A., Tolson, B., Anctil, F., & J. Mai (2019) Efficient treatment of climate data uncertainty in ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) based on an existing historical climate ensemble dataset. Journal of Hydrology. 568, 985-996.

Mai, J. & B. Tolson (2019) Model Variable Augmentation (MVA) for diagnostic assessment of sensitivity analysis results. Water Resources Research, 1-21.

PROJECT 2-2

COMPARISON OF ENSEMBLE FORECAST METHODS FOR OPERATIONAL STREAMFLOW FORECASTING BASED ON MULTIPLE MODELS

Abaza, M., Anctil, F., Fortin, V. & R. Turcotte (2014) Sequential streamflow assimilation for short-term hydrological ensemble forecasting. Journal of Hydrology 519, 2692-2706.

Abaza, M., Anctil, F., Fortin, V. & R. Turcotte (2015) Exploration of sequential streamflow assimilation in snow dominated watersheds. Advances in Water Resources 80, 79-89.

Abaza, M., Garneau, C. & F. Anctil (2015) Comparison of sequential and variational streamflow assimilation techniques for short-term hydrological forecasting. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 20(2), 04014042.

Abaza, M., Anctil, F., Fortin, V. & L. Perreault (2017b) On the incidence of meteorological and hydrological processors: Effect of resolution, sharpness and reliability of hydrological ensemble forecasts. Journal of Hydrology 555, 371-384.

Abaza, M., Anctil, F., Fortin, V. & L. Perreault (2017a) Hydrological evaluation of the Canadian meteorological ensemble reforecast product. Atmosphere - Ocean, 55(3), 195–211.

Anctil, F. & M.H. Ramos (2018) Verification metrics for hydrological ensemble forecasts. In Duan, Q., Pappenberger, F., Thirlen, J., Wood, A., Cloke, H. & Schaake, J. (eds) Handbook of Hydrometerorological Ensemble Forecasting. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg.

Gaborit, E., Fortin, V., Xu, X., Seglenieks, F., Tolson, B.A., Fry, L., Hunter, T., Anctil, F. & A. Gronewold (2017) A hydrological prediction system based on the SVS land-surface scheme: Efficient calibration of GEM-Hydro for streamflow simulation over the Lake Ontario basin. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 21(9), 4825-4839.

Thiboult, A. & F. Anctil (2015a) Assessment of a multimodel ensemble against an operational hydrological forecasting system. Canadian Water Resources Journal 40(3), 272-284.

Thiboult, A. & F. Anctil (2015b) On the difficulty to optimally implement the Ensemble Kalman filter: An experiment based on many hydrological models and catchments. Journal of Hydrology 529(3), 1147-1160.

Thiboult, A., Anctil, F. & M.-A. Boucher (2016) Accounting for three sources of uncertainty in ensemble hydrological forecasting. Hydrology and Earth Systems Sciences 20(5), 1809-1825.

Thiboult, A., Anctil, F. & M. Ramos (2017) How does the quantification of uncertainties affect the quality and value of flood early warning systems? Journal of Hydrology, 551, 365–373.

Xu, J. Anctil, F. & M.-A. Boucher (2019) Hydrological post-processing of streamflow forecasts issued from multimodel ensemble prediction systems. Journal of Hydrology, 578, 124002.

Xu, X., Tolson, B. A., Li, J. & B. Davison (2017) Assimilation of synthetic remotely-sensed soil moisture in Environment Canada's MESH model. IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing 10(4), 1317-1327.

PROJECT 2-4

EVALUATION OF FLOOD WARNING BASED ON A HYDRAULIC MODEL WITH ASSIMILATION AND HYDROLOGICAL ENSEMBLE FORECASTS

Bessar, M.A., Matte, P. & F. Anctil (2020) Uncertainty analysis of a 1D river hydraulic model with adaptive calibration. Water, 12.

PROJECT 2-5

REAL-TIME RESERVOIR OPERATION BASED ON A COMBINATION OF LONG-TERM AND SHORT-TERM OPTIMIZATION AND HYDROLOGICAL ENSEMBLE FORECASTS

Pina, J., Tilmant, A. & F. Anctil (2017) Horizontal approach to assess the impact of climate change on water resources systems. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 143(4), 04016081.

Pina, J., Tilmant, A. & P. Côté (2017) Optimizing multireservoir system operating policies using exogenous hydrologic variables. Water Resources Research, 53(11), 9845–9859.

PROJECT 3-1

EVALUATION OF FLOOD FORECASTING AND WARNING SYSTEMS ACROSS CANADA

Gizaw, M.S. & T.Y. Gan (2016) Regional Flood Frequency Analysis using Support Vector Regression under historical and future climate. Journal of Hydrology, 538, 387-398.

Jha, S., Shrestha, D., Stadnyk, T. & P. Coulibaly (2018) Evaluation of ensemble precipitation forecasts generated through post-processing in a Canadian catchment. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22(3), 1957–1969.

Muhammad, A., Stadnyk, T.A., Unduche, F. & P. Coulibaly (2018) Multi-model approaches for improving seasonal ensemble streamflow prediction scheme with various statistical post-processing techniques in the Canadian Prairie Region. Water, 10(11), 1604.

Muhammad, A., Evenson, G.R., Stadnyk, T.A., Boluwade, A., Jha, S.K. & P. Coulibaly (2018) Assessing the importance of potholes in the Canadian Prairie Region under future climate change scenarios. Water, 10(11), 1657.

Muhammad, A., Evenson, G.R., Unduche, F. & T.A. Stadnyk (2020) Climate Change Impacts on Reservoir Inflow in the Prairie Pothole Region: A Watershed Model Analysis. Water, 12(1), 1-18.

Muhammad, A., Evenson, G.R., Stadnyk, T.A., Boluwade, A., Jha, S.K. & P. Coulibaly (2019) Impact of model structure on the accuracy of hydrological modeling of a Canadian Prairie watershed. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 21, 40-56.

Zahmatkesh, Z., Jha, S. K., Coulibaly, P. & T. Stadnyk (2019) An overview of river flood forecasting procedures in Canadian watersheds. Canadian Water Resources Journal, 44(3), 213-229.

Zhang, Z. & T. Stadnyk (2020) Investigaation of Attributes for Identifying Homogeneous Flood Regions for Regional Flood Frequency Analysis in Canada. Water, 12(9), 2570.

PROJECT 3-2

REAL-TIME SPATIAL INFORMATION EVALUATION AND PROCESSING

Ambadan, J.T., Berg, A., Merryfield, W.J. & W-S. Lee (2018) Influence of snowmelt on soil moisture and on near surface air temperature during winter–spring transition season. Climate Dynamics, 51(4), 1295-1309.

Bhuiyan, HA.K.M., McNairn, H., Powers, J., Friesen, M., Pacheco, A., Jackson, T.J., Cosh, M.H., Colliander, A., Berg, A., Rowlandson, T., Bullock, P., & R. Magagi (2018) Assessing SMAP Soil Moisture Scaling and Retrieval in the Carman (Canada) Study Site. Vadose Zone Journal, 17(1), 1-14.

Bindlish, R., Cosh, M., Jackson, T., Koike, T., Fujii, T., Chan, S., Asanuma, J., Berg, A., Bosch, D., Caldwell, T., Holifield, C., McNarin, H., Martinez-Fernández, J., Rowlandson, T., Seyfried, M., Starks, P., Thibeault, M., van der Velde, R., Walker, J. & E.J. Coopersmith (2018) GCOM-W AMSR2 soil moisture product validation using core validation sites. IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing. 11(1), 209-219.

Champagne, C., Rowlandson, T., Berg, A., Burns, T., L’Heureux, J., Tetlock, E., Adams, J.R., McNairn, H., Toth, B. & D. Itenfisu (2016) Satellite surface soil moisture from SMOS and Aquarius: Assessment for applications in agricultural landscapes. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation 45B, 143-154.

Champagne, C., White, J., Berg, A., Bélair, S., & M. Carrera (2019) Impact of soil moisture data characteristics on the sensitivity to crop yields under drought and excess moisture conditions. Remote Sensing, 11(4), 372 (19 pages).

Chan, S., Bindlish, R., O’Neill, P., Jackson, T., Dunbar, S, Chaubell, J., et al. (2017) Development and validation of the SMAP enhanced passive soil moisture product. International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium (IGARSS), 2017–July (October 2017), 2539–2542.

Chan, S., Bindlish, R., O’Neill, P., Jackson, T., Njoku, E., Dunbar, S., Chaubell, J., et al. (2018) Development and assessment of the SMAP enhanced passive soil moisture product. Remote Sensing of Environment 204, 931-941.

Gherboudj, I., Magagi, R., Berg, A. & B. Toth (2017) Characterization of the spatial variability of in-situ soil moisture measurements for upscaling at the spatial resolution of RADARSAT-2. IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing 10(5), 1813-1823.

Hachborn, E., Berg, A., Levison, J. & J. Ambadan (2017) Sensitivity of GRACE-derived estimates of groundwater-level changes in southern Ontario, Canada. Hydrogeology Journal 25(8), 2391-2402.

Lyu, H., McColl, K., Li, X., Derksen, C., Berg, A., Black, A., Euskirchen, E., et al. (2018) Validation of the SMAP freeze/thaw product using categorical triple collocation. Remote Sensing of Environment, 205, 329-337.

Rowlandson, T.L., Berg, A., Roy, A., Kim, E., Pardo Lara, R., Powers, J., Lewis, K., Houser, P., McDonald, K., Toose, P., Wu, A., De Marco, E., Derksen, C., Entin, J., Colliander, A., Xu, X. & A. Mavrovic (2018) Capturing agricultural soil freeze/thaw state through remote sensing and ground observations: A soil freeze/thaw validation campaign. Remote Sensing of Environment, 211, 59-70.

Roy, A., Toose, P., Derksen, C., Rowlandson, T., Berg, A., Lemmetyinen, J., Royer, A., et al. (2017) Spatial variability of L-Band brightness temperature during freeze/thaw events over a prairie environment. Remote Sensing, 9(9), 894, 1-16.

Roy, A., Toose, P., Williamson, M., Rowlandson, T., Derksen, C., Royer, A., Berg, A., Lemmetyinen, J. & L. Arnold (2017) Response of L-Band brightness temperatures to freeze/thaw and snow dynamics in a prairie environment from ground-based radiometer measurements. Remote Sensing of Environment 191, 67-80.

Tetlock, E., Toth, B., Berg, A., Rowlandson, T. & J. Ambadan-Thomas (2018) An 11-yr (2007–2017) soil moisture and precipitation dataset from the Kenaston Network in the Brightwater Creek basin, Saskatchewan, Canada.  Earth System Science Data Discussions, 1-16.

Williamson, M., Adams, J., Berg, A., Derksen, C., Toose, P. & A. Walker (2018) Plot-scale assessment of soil freeze/thaw detection and variability with impedance probes: implications for remote sensing validation networks. Hydrology Research, 49(1), 1-16.

Williamson, M., Rowlandson, T., Berg, A., Roy, A., Toose, P., Derksen, C., Arnold, L., et al. (2018) L-band radiometry freeze/ thaw validation using air temperature and ground measurements. Remote Sensing Letters, 9(4), 403-410.

Zahmatkesh, Z., Tapsoba, D., Leach, J. & P. Coulibaly (2019) Evaluation and bias correction of SNODAS snow water equivalent (SWE) for streamflow simulation in eastern Canadian basins. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 64(13), 1541-1555.

Zwieback, S., Colliander, A., Cosh, M. H., Martínez-Fernández, J., McNairn, H., Starks, P. J., Thibeault, M., & A. Berg (2018) Estimating time-dependent vegetation biases in the SMAP soil moisture product. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22, 4473-4489.

Zwieback, S., & A. Berg (2019) Fine-scale SAR soil moisture estimation in the subarctic tundra. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, 1-15.

Zwieback, S., Westermann, S., Langer, M., Boike, J., Marsh, P. & A. Berg (2019) Improving permafrost modeling by assimilating remotely sensed soil moisture. Water Resources Research, 1-19.

PROJECT 3-3

ENHANCED INFORMATION COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS

Li, P., Miyazaki, T., Wang, K., Guo, S. & W. Zhuang (2017) Vehicle-Assist Resilient Information and Network System for Disaster Management. IEEE Transactions on Emerging Topics in Computing, 5(3), 438-448.

Moussa, H.G., & W. Zhuang (2020) Access point association in uplink two-hop cellular IoT networks with data aggregators. IEEE Internet of Things Journal, in press.

Moussa, H.G., & W. Zhuang (2019) RACH Performance Analysis for Large-Scale Cellular IoT Applications. IEEE Internet of Things Journal, 6(2), 3364-3372.

Moussa, H.G., & W. Zhuang (2019) Energy and Delay Aware Two-hop NOMA-Enabled Massive Cellular IoT Communications. IEEE Internet of Things Journal, 1-11.

Rahimi Malekshan, K. & W. Zhuang (2017) Joint scheduling and transmission power control in wireless ad hoc networks. IEEE Transactions on Wireless Communications, 16(9), 5982–5993.

Rahimi Malekshan, K., Zhuang, W. & Y. Lostanlen (2016) Coordination-based Medium Access Control with Space-reservation for Wireless Ad Hoc Networks. IEEE Transactions on Wireless Communications, 15(2), 1617-1628.

Song, W., Zhao, Y. & W. Zhuang (2018) Stable device pairing for collaborative data dissemination with device-to-device communications. IEEE Internet of Things Journal. 5(2), 1251-1264.

Song, W. & W. Zhuang (2016) Packet assignment under resource constraints with D2D communications. IEEE Network 30(5), 54-60.

Ye, Q., Zhuang, W., Zhang, S., Jin, A.L., Shen, X. & X. Li (2018) Dynamic radio resource slicing for a two-tier heterogeneous wireless network. IEEE Transactions on Vehicular Technology, 67(10), 9896-9910.

Ye, Q.  & W. Zhuang (2017) Distributed and adaptive medium access control for Internet-of-Things-enabled mobile networks. IEEE Internet of Things Journal 4(2), 446-460.

Ye, Q., & W. Zhuang (2017) Token-based adaptive mac for a two-hop internet-of-things enabled MANET. IEEE Internet of Things Journal, 4(5), 1739–1753.

Zhou, Y. & W. Zhuang (2017) Opportunistic cooperation in wireless ad hoc networks with interference correlation. Peer-to-Peer Networking and Applications 10(1), 238-252.

Zhou, Y. & W. Zhuang (2016) Performance analysis of cooperative communication in decentralized wireless networks with unsaturated traffic. IEEE Transactions on Wireless Communications 15(5), 3518–3530.

Zhou, Y. & W. Zhuang (2015) Throughput Analysis of Cooperative Communication in Wireless Ad Hoc Networks With Frequency Reuse. IEEE Transactions on Wireless Communications, 14(1), 205-218.

PROJECT 3-4

DEVELOPMENT OF CANADIAN ADAPTIVE FLOOD FORECASTING AND EARLY WARNING SYSTEM (CAFFEWS)

Agnihotri, J. & P. Coulibaly (2020) Evaluation of Snowmelt Estimation Techniques for Enhanced Spring Peak Flow Prediction. Water, 12(5), 1290.

Awol, F., Coulibaly, P. & I. Tsanis (2020). Identification of Combined Hydrological Models and Numerical Weather Predictions for Enhanced Flood Forecasting in a Semiurban Watershed. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 26(1).

‍Awol, F., Coulibaly, P., Tsanis, I. & F. Unduche (2019). Identification of Hydrological Models for Enhanced Ensemble Reservoir Inflow Forecasting in a Large Complex Prairie Watershed. Water, 11(11), 1-27.

Awol, F., Coulibaly, P. & B. Tolson (2018) Event-based model calibration approaches for selecting representative distributed parameters in semi-urban watersheds. Advances in Water Resources 118, 12–27.

Darbandsari, P. & P. Coulibaly (2020) Introducing Entropy-based Bayesian Model Averaging for Streamflow Forecast. Journal of Hydrology, 125577.

‍Darbandsari, P. & P. Coulibaly (2020) Inter-comparison of lumped hydrological models in data-scarce watersheds using differentprecipitation forcing data sets: Case study of Northern Ontario, Canada. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 31, 100730.

‍Darbandsari, P. & P. Coulibaly (2019) Inter-comparison of different bayesian model averaging modifications in streamflow simulation. Water 11(8), 1707.

Han, S. & P. Coulibaly (2019) Probabilistic flood forecasting using hydrologic uncertainty processor with ensemble weather forecasts. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 20(7), 1379-1398.

Han, S. Coulibaly, P. & D. Biondi (2019). Assessing Hydrologic Uncertainty Processor Performance for Flood Forecasting in a Semiurban Watershed. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 24(9), 05019025.

Han, S. & P. Coulibaly (2017) Bayesian flood forecasting methods: A review. Journal of Hydrology 551, 340-351.

Keum, J., Awol, F., Ursulak, J. & P. Coulibaly (2019) Introducing the ensemble-based dual entropy and multiobjective optimization for hydrometric network design problems: EnDEMO. Entropy, 21(10), 947.

Keum, J., Coulibaly, P., Razavi, T., Tapsoba, D., Gobena, A., Weber, F. & A. Pietroniro (2018) Application of SNODAS and hydrologic models to enhance entropy-based snow monitoring network design. Journal of Hydrology, 561, 688–701.

Keum, J. & P. Coulibaly (2017) Sensitivity of entropy method to time series length in hydrometric network design. ASCE Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 22(7), 04017009-1 - 04017009-13.

Keum, J. & P. Coulibaly (2017) Information theory-based decision support system for integrated design of multivariable hydrometric networks. Water Resources Research 53(7), 6239–6259.

Keum, J., Kornelsen, K.C., Leach, J.M. & P. Coulibaly (2017) Entropy Applications to Water Monitoring Network Design: A Review. Entropy, 19(11), 613.

Leach, J.M. & P. Coulibaly (2019) An extension of data assimilation into the short-term hydrologic forecast for improved prediction reliability. Advances in Water Resources, 134(October), 103443.

Leach, J.M. & P. Coulibaly (2020) Soil moisture assimilation in urban watersheds: A method to identify the limiting imperviousness threshold based on watershed characteristics. Journal of Hydrology, 587, 124958.

‍Leach, J.M., Kornelsen, K.C. & P. Coulibaly (2018) Assimilation of near-real time data products into models of an urban basin. Journal of Hydrology, 563, 51–64.

Razavi, T. & P. Coulibaly (2017) An evaluation of regionalization and watershed classification schemes for continuous daily streamflow prediction in ungauged watersheds. Canadian Water Resources Journal, 42(1), 2-20.

Razavi, T., Switzman, H., Arain, A. & P. Coulibaly (2016) Regional climate change trends and uncertainty analysis using extreme indices: A case study of Hamilton, Canada. Climate Risk Management 13, 43-63.

Switzman, H., Razavi, T., Traore, S., Coulibaly, P., Burn, D.H., Henderson, J., Fausto, E. & R. Ness (2017) Variability of future extreme rainfall statistics: Comparison of multiple IDF projections. ASCE Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 22(10), 04017046-1 -  04017046-20.

Werstuck, C.A. & P. Coulibaly (2017) Hydrometric network design using dual entropy multi-objective optimization in the Ottawa River Basin. Hydrology Research 48(6), 1639-1651.

Werstuck, C.A. & P. Coulibaly (2018) Assessing spatial scale effects on hydrometric network design using entropy and multi-objective methods. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 54(1), 276-286.

Wijayarathne, D.B. & P. Coulibaly (2020) Application of weather Radar for operational hydrology in Canada – a review. Canadian Water Resources Journal / Revue canadienne des ressources hydriques.

Wijayarathne, D.B. & P. Coulibaly (2020) Identification of hydrological models for operational flood forecasting in St. John’s, Newfoundland, Canada. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 27, 100646.

Wijayarathne, D., Boodoo, S., Coulibaly, P., & D. Sills (2020) Evaluation of Radar Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs) as an Input of Hydrological Models for Hydrometeorological Applications. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 21(8),1847–1864.

Wijayarathne, D., Coulibaly, P., Boodoo, S., & D. Sills (2020) Evaluation of Radar-Gauge Merging Techniques to Be Used in Operational Flood Forecasting in Urban Watersheds. Water, 12(5), 1494.

Zanchetta, A.D.L. & P. Coulibaly (2020) Recent Advances in Real-Time Pluvial Flash Flood Forecasting. Water, 12(2), 570.

PROJECT 3-5

APPLICATION AND TESTING OF CAFFEWS IN SELECTED REGIONS ACROSS CANADA

PROJECT 4-1

ROLE OF FLOODS ON AQUATIC ECOSYSTEM CONDITION

Fasching, C., Wilson, H., D'Amario, S. & M. Xenopoulos (2019) Natural land cover in agricultural catchments alters flood effects on DOM composition and decreases nutrient levels in streams. Ecosystems, 1-16.

Kaushal, S., Gold, A., Bernal, S., Newcomer Johnson, T., Addy, K., Burgin, A., Burns, D., Coble, A., Hood, E., Lu, Y., Mayer, P., Minor, E., Schroth, A. Vidon, P., Wilson, H., Xenopoulos, M.,  et al. (2018). Watershed 'chemical cocktails': forming novel elemental combinations in Anthropocene fresh waters. Biogeochemistry, 141(3), 281-305.

Talbot, C., Bennett, E., Cassell, K., Hanes, D., Minor, E., Paerl, H., Raymond, P., Vargas, R., Vidon, P., Wolheim, W. & M. Xenopoulos (2018) The impact of flooding on aquatic ecosystem services. Biogeochemistry 141(3), 439-461.

PROJECT 4-3

MODELLING-BASED INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF FLOOD IMPACTS ON URBAN AND RURAL WATER RESOURCES SYSTEMS

Ahmed, M., Elshorbagy, A., & A. Pietroniro (2020) Toward Simple Modeling Practices in the Complex Canadian Prairie Watersheds. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 25(6), 1-15.

Ahmed, M., Elshorbagy, A., & A. Pietroniro (2020) A novel model for storage dynamics simulation and inundation mapping in the prairies. Environmental Modelling and Software, 133, 104850.

PROJECT 4-4

FLOOD RISK ANALYSIS AND ITS UTILITY FOR MANAGEMENT DECISIONS

‍Bharath, R., & A. Elshorbagy (2018) Flood mapping under uncertainty: a case study in the Canadian prairies. Natural Hazards, 94(2), 537-560.

Elshorbagy, A., Bharath, R., Lakhanpal, A., Ceola, S., Montanari, A. & K.-E. Lindenschmidt (2017) Topography- and nightlight-based national flood risk assessment in Canada. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 21(4), 2219-2232.

PROJECT 4-5

ASSESSING AND PLANNING FOR THE SOCIO-ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF FLOODS

Gordon, J.N. & N. Yiannakoulia (2020) A serious gaming approach to understanding household flood risk mitigation decisions. Journal of Flood Risk Management, e12648, 1-14.

Yiannakoulias, N., Darlington, J.C., Elshorbagy, A. & B. Raja (2018) Meta-analysis based predictions of flood insurance and flood vulnerability patterns in Calgary, Alberta. Applied Geography, 96, 41-50.

Yiannakoulias N., Gordon, J.N. & J.C. Darlington (2019) The decision game: a serious game approach to understanding environmental risk management decisions. Journal of Risk Research, 1-14.